Betting Bad

Betting Bad is shaking things up for the final week of the regular season. We are going for a tenfold. 20 teams, ten fixtures. All Premier League based. Bet what you have. I will be sticking with my usually £5 stake, but do what you will. Is £5 a waste? Go £1. Bet £100 if you’re confident. Do what you will. All I aim to do is give my thoughts on who will win-
lose-draw on the final day of the league, in a slightly more condensed version to the usual Betting Bad run down. Got it? Good. Then without further ado…

Burnley v Bournemouth – DRAW – 12/5

Burley have nothing to play for here and are on sporadic form. Bournemouth are on a poor run of form but are one of four teams on 41 points, therefore a top half finish is doable, though results could see the Cherries drop as low as 15th. This will be the first home game since Burnley qualified for European football, so Turf Moor will be rocking pre game, but an
early Bournemouth goal could silence them. A feel this will peter out to a stale draw. Plus I can’t bet on the team who’s manager reputably eats worms…

CRYSTAL PALACE v West Brom – 8/11

I am a big fan of Darren Moore, he seems to be a genuinely good manager on top of being a nice guy. This game could go either way, either West Brom could be utterly deflated by their relegation midweek, or they could play without fear and give Palace a doing. Palace are on tremendous form and have the passionate crowd at Selhurst Park cheering them on, a big advantage by any means! After the appalling start to the season for Palace, Roy will have it drilled into his team to finish strong and end up with a top half finish. The first goal will win the game here, I’m calling a 3-0 win to Palace.

Huddersfield v ARSENAL – 8/15

Arsene Wenger’s last ever game to Arsenal. His players certainly rose to the occasion last week in his final home match against Burnley, but Arsenal have yet to win away from home in the league in 2018. He is playing a Huddersfield team who may legitimately be hungover after defying the odds to stay up. They have managed credible results against both Manchester City and Chelsea in the past seven days and I feel Arsenal may be a bridge too far for the Yorkshire based side. It will be sad to see Huddersfield lose their last home game at the season, but it would be even worse to see Wenger bow out of the Premier League on anything other than a win. I will go for a scrappy 1-2 win for the Gunners.

LIVERPOOL v Brighton – 1/5

This will entirely be based upon the XI that Klopp picks. Will he play his starters for the momentum of getting wins under the belt, or will he keep Salah, Mane, Robertson etc in cotton wool? He will need to play a decent side as they still haven’t cemented 4th place spot, they are two points behind Spurs and above Chelsea. Brighton have had an excellent season by their standards, though it’s hard to envisage Lewis Dunk stopping Liverpool’s front three. On the assumption that Liverpool play their best XI I’ll plump for an ambition 5-2 win. You don’t get calls like that with Mark Lawrenson.

MANCHESTER UNITED v Watford – 4/11

This is tricky. On recent form, this will be a drab 0-0 game, god forbid Jose plays with some attacking fluidity in this nothing game! But Watford appear to be in their usual mode of giving up having secured safety. I feel that the so called anti-football will be in force by United, but they will win. I feel they will win to nil, but for the good of my fantasy football team, I’ll put 2-1 as the final score, as I have Troy Deeney in there for his penalty skills!

Newcastle v Chelsea – DRAW – 16/5

Chelsea need a win to have a chance of European football, but St James will be rocking for their final day of the season. The shambles that is the Newcastle boardroom gave Rafa Benitez nothing to work with in terms of transfers overall this season, yet he is on the verge of finishing in the top half, results dependent. He has never seen eye to eye with Chelsea, and was treated appallingly by fans during his short stint at Stamford Bridge, so he will no doubt love to get one over his old side. A structured defensive display will see an entertaining 0-0 match. Big risk, but strong odds.

Southampton v MANCHESTER CITY – 2/5

Southampton are all but safe. They would have to lose and have Swansea win AND a 9 goal swing to put the Saints down. It isn’t going to happen. City are good enough to put 9 past Southampton if they want, but on the final day of the season with every record available seemingly ticked, there is no motivation to put their opponents down. Southampton will be full of confidence after all but securing safety, but I can’t see them turning that in to a win. 0-3 City, probably aided by an early onslaught with a dull second half.

Swansea v STOKE – 16/5

This is a tough game to call. Swansea need to win, to have Southampton lose and have a massive goal swing to give them a chance of survival, yet I don’t see them holding up their end of the bargain. Stoke were the first team to be relegated, yet in my opinion are far from the worst team in the league this season. I foresee them frustrating Swansea for large swathes of the game, countering on them late on as the Welsh outfit push further and further up the field. 0-1 Stoke.

TOTTENHAM v Leicester – 3/10

Spurs will want to finish the season with a win to cement 3rd spot. Leicester have stagnated massively under Claude Puel. While the foxes definitely have potential in their squad, they appear to have given up on their manager, which is no real surprise. They have secured a top half finish but have never looked like threatening Europe this season. The Harry Kane team will score early to get the crowd on side and continue putting on a show for Wembley. 3-0 to the Spurs.

West Ham v Everton- DRAW – 12/5

In all the years that I’ve been following football, I don’t think there’s ever been a less appealing match-up between these two. The Hammers players look happier blowing bubbles than kicking a football, while nobody looks arsed about playing for Big Sam. Everton are in the top half and are unbeaten in five, yet his turgid football is as unappetising as, well, David Moyes’. For the sake of anyone having to endure this game, I’ll give it a 1-1 in the hope that a couple goals keeps them awake. To make matters worse, Rooney is rumoured to miss his last ever Premier League match.

Bet slip

Burnley v Bournemouth – DRAW – 12/5

CRYSTAL PALACE v West Brom – 8/11

Huddersfield v ARSENAL – 8/15

LIVERPOOL v Brighton – 1/5

MANCHESTER UNITED v Watford

Newcastle v Chelsea – DRAW – 16/5

Southampton v MANCHESTER CITY – 2/5

Swansea v STOKE – 16/5

TOTTENHAM v Leicester – 3/10

West Ham v Everton- DRAW – 12/5

£5 bet placed at 1607.44/1 returns £8042.20

Honestly, reader, this isn’t going to happen. I’m not going to pretend, I shan’t kid myself. This is a waste of a fiver. But it just takes one good day, just one, to have your life changed a bit. Best of luck! Remember, bet responsibly.